Saturday, May 2, 2009

A little experiment to see how true odds are in poker for short term.

Ok i take a deck of 52 cards, traditional poker deck.

i pull out AA and KK and and set them to side i then shuffle deck , as would any dealer in poker game and deal out burn cards flop turn and river, 10 times, my results.

pocket kings beat the aces 3/10 times or 33.3 percent, well above the 21% it should

i got set over set 1 time as well in only 10 outings.. very odd, i thot.

so i tried a different match up using AK vs A7 and same thing ran it 10 times only

found that the 7 paired minus the king and won 3/10 or 33.3 , just about the expected there

so goes to show just cause you catch bad a few hands in row being a bit favorite doesn't mean a game is rigged, or your unlucky , #'s just run a little erratic at times. now after 10,000 times these should even out to expected values, but seriously i don't think even doyle brunson has seen AA vs KK 10,000 in 70 years he's been playing.

until next time , hold up hand hold up

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